empty
 
 
22.01.2026 06:37 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold is struggling to capitalize on an intraday rebound from the $4,770–4,772 level, remaining below the all-time high recorded the day before. Expectations of two additional interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2026 have prevented the U.S. dollar from extending its overnight gains, becoming a key supportive factor for the yellow metal.

This image is no longer relevant
U.S. President Donald Trump has backed away from threats of additional tariffs on eight European countries and ruled out a military takeover of Greenland. This has triggered a renewed rally in global risk assets and capped gold's upward potential as a defensive asset.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump announced a framework for a future deal with NATO on Greenland, removing the need for new tariffs on European countries. This neutralizes the risk of U.S. confrontation with NATO allies, prompting a reversal of the "Sell America" strategy, which supports the U.S. dollar and further weakens the precious metal.

U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff announced a new meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday amid progress on a U.S.-backed 20-point peace plan for Ukraine. On Wednesday, Trump noted that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Putin have reached a point where a ceasefire agreement is possible, further undermining the position of the precious metal.

A Reuters poll showed that most economists expect the Fed's key interest rate to remain unchanged through the end of the quarter and possibly until May, when Jerome Powell's term expires.

Nevertheless, the market is pricing in two rate cuts in 2026. Concerns about political pressure on the Fed's independent policy are also limiting U.S. dollar strength. The release of the U.S. PCE inflation index and the final Q3 GDP report today will have a significant impact on the U.S. dollar and will set the direction for the XAU/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, gold is trading near its all-time high, but it is worth noting that oscillators on the daily chart are in overbought territory, suggesting consolidation or a pullback. Support is located at the 4,770 level, while resistance is at the record high.

Ringkasan
Segera
Analitic
Irina Yanina
Mulakan perdagangan
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit akaun anda sebanyak $3,000 dan dapatkan $10000 lebih lagi!
    Dalam Januari kami membuat cabutan bertuah $10000 dalam Kempen Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan peluang untuk menang dengan membuat deposit $ 3000 ke dalam akaun dagangan. Setelah memenuhi syarat ini, anda menjadi peserta kempen.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Daftar untuk peraduan dan tambah dana akaun anda dengan sekurang-kurangnya AS$ 500 untuk layak memenangi peranti mudah alih.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Bonus 30%
    Dapatkan bonus 30% setiap kali anda membuat penambahan dana akaun anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget